<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" version="2.0" xmlns:itunes="http://www.itunes.com/dtds/podcast-1.0.dtd" xmlns:googleplay="http://www.google.com/schemas/play-podcasts/1.0"><channel><title><![CDATA[Overlooked Alpha]]></title><description><![CDATA[Finding mispriced companies before the crowd. Independent research on global small-cap and mid-cap stocks. Over 250 companies covered.]]></description><link>https://www.overlookedalpha.com</link><image><url>https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RHwg!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6aaeb4fb-c74e-436e-94ef-b108693e4719_1280x1280.png</url><title>Overlooked Alpha</title><link>https://www.overlookedalpha.com</link></image><generator>Substack</generator><lastBuildDate>Thu, 30 Jul 2026 20:01:35 GMT</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://www.overlookedalpha.com/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><copyright><![CDATA[Joe Marwood]]></copyright><language><![CDATA[en]]></language><webMaster><![CDATA[overlookedalpha@substack.com]]></webMaster><itunes:owner><itunes:email><![CDATA[overlookedalpha@substack.com]]></itunes:email><itunes:name><![CDATA[Overlooked Alpha]]></itunes:name></itunes:owner><itunes:author><![CDATA[Overlooked Alpha]]></itunes:author><googleplay:owner><![CDATA[overlookedalpha@substack.com]]></googleplay:owner><googleplay:email><![CDATA[overlookedalpha@substack.com]]></googleplay:email><googleplay:author><![CDATA[Overlooked Alpha]]></googleplay:author><itunes:block><![CDATA[Yes]]></itunes:block><item><title><![CDATA[Record Results Can Propel This Software Small Cap]]></title><description><![CDATA[23% growth, 8x EBITDA.]]></description><link>https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/record-results-can-propel-this-software</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/record-results-can-propel-this-software</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Overlooked Alpha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 27 Jul 2026 07:16:10 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jIf1!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F527b3715-8c5b-42d2-9b3e-83eec65042e7_984x533.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Good morning,</p><p>Today we are publishing on a small UK software company that may be approaching an important inflection point. </p><p>In results released last week, organic ARR growth accelerated to approximately 23%, and recurring revenue climbed to 81% of total sales. </p><p>The company also secured a strategically important US order from a leading medical-device manufacturer, with scope to expand into additional sites.</p><p>With a debt-free balance sheet, embedded products and significant scope for margin expansion, we think this business can evolve into a more durable compounder. </p><p>Yet shares still trade at a meaningful discount to peers.</p><p>Let&#8217;s dig in&#8230;</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jIf1!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F527b3715-8c5b-42d2-9b3e-83eec65042e7_984x533.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jIf1!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F527b3715-8c5b-42d2-9b3e-83eec65042e7_984x533.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jIf1!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F527b3715-8c5b-42d2-9b3e-83eec65042e7_984x533.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jIf1!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F527b3715-8c5b-42d2-9b3e-83eec65042e7_984x533.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jIf1!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F527b3715-8c5b-42d2-9b3e-83eec65042e7_984x533.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jIf1!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F527b3715-8c5b-42d2-9b3e-83eec65042e7_984x533.png" width="984" height="533" 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class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/record-results-can-propel-this-software">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[A High Quality Chemical Distributor With a Path to 60% Upside]]></title><description><![CDATA[Rebound approved]]></description><link>https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/a-high-quality-chemical-distributor</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/a-high-quality-chemical-distributor</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Overlooked Alpha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 29 Jun 2026 19:13:00 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LQZ1!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F021a96a8-6ac1-458a-a2ef-1fefdd7dae1b_2616x1406.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Good morning,</p><p>Today&#8217;s write-up focuses on a company that most investors are ignoring.</p><p>While capital continues to pour into artificial intelligence, semiconductors and data centres, less fashionable parts of the market have been left behind. </p><p>That has created opportunities in high-quality businesses that look dull, cyclical or temporarily impaired.</p><p>Today&#8217;s company sits in one of those overlooked areas: the chemicals industry.</p><p>On the surface, the story looks unexciting. Revenue growth has slowed, customers have been destocking and the broader industry remains stuck in a weak cycle.</p><p>But beneath the surface, the business is much stronger than the share price suggests.</p><p>It&#8217;s capital-light, highly cash generative, resilient through cycles, and diversified across thousands of customers and suppliers.</p><p>This is not a flashy AI story.</p><p>It&#8217;s a former compounder trading at a depressed multiple during a cyclical low with a simple path to upside.</p><p>Let&#8217;s dig in&#8230;</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LQZ1!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F021a96a8-6ac1-458a-a2ef-1fefdd7dae1b_2616x1406.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LQZ1!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F021a96a8-6ac1-458a-a2ef-1fefdd7dae1b_2616x1406.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LQZ1!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F021a96a8-6ac1-458a-a2ef-1fefdd7dae1b_2616x1406.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LQZ1!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F021a96a8-6ac1-458a-a2ef-1fefdd7dae1b_2616x1406.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LQZ1!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F021a96a8-6ac1-458a-a2ef-1fefdd7dae1b_2616x1406.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LQZ1!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F021a96a8-6ac1-458a-a2ef-1fefdd7dae1b_2616x1406.png" width="1456" height="783" 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srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LQZ1!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F021a96a8-6ac1-458a-a2ef-1fefdd7dae1b_2616x1406.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LQZ1!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F021a96a8-6ac1-458a-a2ef-1fefdd7dae1b_2616x1406.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LQZ1!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F021a96a8-6ac1-458a-a2ef-1fefdd7dae1b_2616x1406.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LQZ1!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F021a96a8-6ac1-458a-a2ef-1fefdd7dae1b_2616x1406.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/a-high-quality-chemical-distributor">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[This Consumer Tech Brand Has Improving Margins, Strong Growth And A Tantalizing Valuation]]></title><description><![CDATA[Upgrade incoming]]></description><link>https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/this-consumer-tech-brand-has-improving</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/this-consumer-tech-brand-has-improving</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Overlooked Alpha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 28 May 2026 12:04:14 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QKSa!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F35ab4579-b9fe-42d0-8856-19ee6ae6e71d_1448x1086.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Good morning,</p><p>Today we are discussing an overlooked consumer tech brand that looks far too cheap.</p><p>Coming to the public markets in 2025, this company has gone largely unnoticed with minimal analyst coverage and barely any mentions across social media.</p><p>That will change, however, as investors begin to understand the quality of the business.</p><p>Since 2020, revenue has scaled roughly 7 times while the company has transitioned from a low-margin reseller into a high-margin own-brand platform. </p><p>Despite inflecting fundamentals, the business trades at just 10 times free cash flow.</p><p>Let&#8217;s take a look&#8230;</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QKSa!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F35ab4579-b9fe-42d0-8856-19ee6ae6e71d_1448x1086.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QKSa!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F35ab4579-b9fe-42d0-8856-19ee6ae6e71d_1448x1086.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QKSa!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F35ab4579-b9fe-42d0-8856-19ee6ae6e71d_1448x1086.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QKSa!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F35ab4579-b9fe-42d0-8856-19ee6ae6e71d_1448x1086.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QKSa!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F35ab4579-b9fe-42d0-8856-19ee6ae6e71d_1448x1086.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img 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data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/35ab4579-b9fe-42d0-8856-19ee6ae6e71d_1448x1086.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1086,&quot;width&quot;:1448,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:1990728,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.overlookedalpha.com/i/155821628?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F35ab4579-b9fe-42d0-8856-19ee6ae6e71d_1448x1086.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QKSa!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F35ab4579-b9fe-42d0-8856-19ee6ae6e71d_1448x1086.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QKSa!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F35ab4579-b9fe-42d0-8856-19ee6ae6e71d_1448x1086.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QKSa!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F35ab4579-b9fe-42d0-8856-19ee6ae6e71d_1448x1086.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QKSa!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F35ab4579-b9fe-42d0-8856-19ee6ae6e71d_1448x1086.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/this-consumer-tech-brand-has-improving">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[5x EBIT For This Fast Growing And Widely Ignored SaaS Business]]></title><description><![CDATA[Potential multibagger]]></description><link>https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/5x-ebit-for-this-mispriced-saas</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/5x-ebit-for-this-mispriced-saas</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Overlooked Alpha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 26 Apr 2026 12:22:43 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PamW!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4608abc9-0588-4927-9495-3612498c381d_1564x1006.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Good morning.</p><p>Today we&#8217;re looking at a small-cap SaaS business trading at what seems like a nonsensical valuation. </p><p>26% annual sales growth, 89% recurring revenue and minimal churn should demand a premium valuation. </p><p>But this business is priced at just five times 2026 operating income.</p><p>With new enterprise wins and government contracts starting to land we think the gap between price and reality is simply too wide to ignore. </p><p>This a business moving upmarket, opening up opportunities and visibly mispriced. </p><p>Let&#8217;s take a look&#8230;</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PamW!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4608abc9-0588-4927-9495-3612498c381d_1564x1006.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PamW!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4608abc9-0588-4927-9495-3612498c381d_1564x1006.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PamW!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4608abc9-0588-4927-9495-3612498c381d_1564x1006.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PamW!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4608abc9-0588-4927-9495-3612498c381d_1564x1006.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PamW!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4608abc9-0588-4927-9495-3612498c381d_1564x1006.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PamW!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4608abc9-0588-4927-9495-3612498c381d_1564x1006.png" width="1456" height="937" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/4608abc9-0588-4927-9495-3612498c381d_1564x1006.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:937,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:1287942,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.overlookedalpha.com/i/194986182?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4608abc9-0588-4927-9495-3612498c381d_1564x1006.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PamW!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4608abc9-0588-4927-9495-3612498c381d_1564x1006.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PamW!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4608abc9-0588-4927-9495-3612498c381d_1564x1006.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PamW!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4608abc9-0588-4927-9495-3612498c381d_1564x1006.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PamW!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4608abc9-0588-4927-9495-3612498c381d_1564x1006.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h2><strong>Thesis Summary</strong></h2>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/5x-ebit-for-this-mispriced-saas">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[New! Discord For Subscribers]]></title><description><![CDATA[Overlooked Alpha Pulse]]></description><link>https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/new-discord-for-subscribers</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/new-discord-for-subscribers</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Overlooked Alpha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 06 Apr 2026 12:23:01 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/2b9d2e93-6bc4-4220-a213-8f4b48936f22_1536x1024.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Good morning,</p><p>We just launched <strong>Overlooked Alpha Pulse</strong> &#8212; a private Discord for Overlooked Alpha subscribers.</p><p>The idea is simple:</p><p>Email remains the place for high-conviction, fully developed ideas.</p><p>Pulse is where we share everything in between.</p><p>Inside Pulse, you&#8217;ll get:</p><ul><li><p>A real-time feed of ideas, observations, and market developments</p></li><li><p>Early-stage research before &#8230;</p></li></ul>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/new-discord-for-subscribers">
              Read more
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[63% Upside For This European Space Play]]></title><description><![CDATA[Opportunity to own exciting private market prospects within two growing industries; defence and space.]]></description><link>https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/63-upside-for-this-european-space</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/63-upside-for-this-european-space</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Overlooked Alpha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 25 Mar 2026 10:19:42 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RKsU!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbd95b3e2-5a89-44ae-b8cb-a8b910d3e9b8_2658x1394.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Good morning.</p><p>Today we&#8217;re publishing a new investment idea focused on two of the most important themes in today&#8217;s market: space and defence.</p><p>Space itself is rapidly becoming a critical layer of the global economy. Satellites are now used to track ships, monitor conflicts, map infrastructure, and generate high-value data that governments and corporations are increasingly reliant on.</p><p>But most of the companies driving this shift remain private making them difficult for public market investors to access. </p><p>However, there is a way to gain exposure to this ecosystem, one that provides a portfolio of high-growth, next gen companies at a compelling price. </p><p>The catch is that this whole investment case may hinge on whether one key holding delivers on its potential. </p><p>Let&#8217;s dig in&#8230;</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RKsU!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbd95b3e2-5a89-44ae-b8cb-a8b910d3e9b8_2658x1394.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RKsU!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbd95b3e2-5a89-44ae-b8cb-a8b910d3e9b8_2658x1394.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RKsU!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbd95b3e2-5a89-44ae-b8cb-a8b910d3e9b8_2658x1394.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RKsU!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbd95b3e2-5a89-44ae-b8cb-a8b910d3e9b8_2658x1394.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RKsU!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbd95b3e2-5a89-44ae-b8cb-a8b910d3e9b8_2658x1394.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RKsU!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbd95b3e2-5a89-44ae-b8cb-a8b910d3e9b8_2658x1394.png" width="1456" height="764" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/bd95b3e2-5a89-44ae-b8cb-a8b910d3e9b8_2658x1394.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:764,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:4129033,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.overlookedalpha.com/i/191791195?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbd95b3e2-5a89-44ae-b8cb-a8b910d3e9b8_2658x1394.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RKsU!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbd95b3e2-5a89-44ae-b8cb-a8b910d3e9b8_2658x1394.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RKsU!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbd95b3e2-5a89-44ae-b8cb-a8b910d3e9b8_2658x1394.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RKsU!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbd95b3e2-5a89-44ae-b8cb-a8b910d3e9b8_2658x1394.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RKsU!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbd95b3e2-5a89-44ae-b8cb-a8b910d3e9b8_2658x1394.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/63-upside-for-this-european-space">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[A Financial Small Cap With A Huge Opportunity]]></title><description><![CDATA[A &#163;157 million business growing revenue at 20&#8211;30% per year. Last year alone, sales increased 26% to &#163;36 million]]></description><link>https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/a-financial-small-cap-with-a-huge</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/a-financial-small-cap-with-a-huge</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Overlooked Alpha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 11 Feb 2026 09:41:33 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QC9k!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffde74905-bf0c-4bc1-bea7-110ade178849_800x534.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Good morning,</p><p>Today we&#8217;re excited to share with you an exciting young company that we found in the financial infrastructure space. </p><p>This business sits inside global financial markets where it enjoys high switching costs and upsell opportunities. It provides ultra-low latency, exchange-approved cloud environments to brokers, hedge funds and trading venues. And its newer cloud offerings nearly tripled revenue year-on-year.</p><p>At today&#8217;s valuation under &#163;200 million, the market seems to assume that margins remain capped and capital intensity persists indefinitely. </p><p>On the contrary, we see a founder-led business and future compounder with a huge opportunity ahead. </p><p>Let&#8217;s take a closer look&#8230;</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QC9k!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffde74905-bf0c-4bc1-bea7-110ade178849_800x534.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QC9k!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffde74905-bf0c-4bc1-bea7-110ade178849_800x534.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QC9k!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffde74905-bf0c-4bc1-bea7-110ade178849_800x534.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QC9k!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffde74905-bf0c-4bc1-bea7-110ade178849_800x534.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QC9k!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffde74905-bf0c-4bc1-bea7-110ade178849_800x534.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QC9k!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffde74905-bf0c-4bc1-bea7-110ade178849_800x534.png" width="800" height="534" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/fde74905-bf0c-4bc1-bea7-110ade178849_800x534.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:534,&quot;width&quot;:800,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:885340,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.overlookedalpha.com/i/187319183?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffde74905-bf0c-4bc1-bea7-110ade178849_800x534.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QC9k!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffde74905-bf0c-4bc1-bea7-110ade178849_800x534.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QC9k!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffde74905-bf0c-4bc1-bea7-110ade178849_800x534.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QC9k!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffde74905-bf0c-4bc1-bea7-110ade178849_800x534.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QC9k!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffde74905-bf0c-4bc1-bea7-110ade178849_800x534.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/a-financial-small-cap-with-a-huge">
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      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[This Successful Turnaround Is Under 3x Free Cash Flow]]></title><description><![CDATA[As debt falls and interest costs fade, cash flow is quietly shifting from lenders to shareholders.]]></description><link>https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/this-successful-turnaround-is-under</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/this-successful-turnaround-is-under</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Overlooked Alpha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 08 Jan 2026 11:03:04 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vsJb!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d065767-957b-4bb7-bd66-0ea0d1edbffb_1200x674.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Good morning,</p><p>Today we&#8217;re looking at a business the market has largely written off &#8212; not because it&#8217;s broken, but because it&#8217;s spent years fixing itself.</p><p>This is an offshore services company that owns a small, specialised fleet of mission-critical assets. Those assets are highly utilised, throwing off real cash, and contracted years into the future. And yet, the equity trades as if the business is one bad oil price away from trouble.</p><p>We don&#8217;t think that&#8217;s true. As debt falls and interest costs fade, cash flow is quietly shifting from lenders to shareholders. </p><p>Below the paywall, we break down the key drivers of this opportunity, what has changed and why the risk:reward is as attractive as ever&#8230; </p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vsJb!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d065767-957b-4bb7-bd66-0ea0d1edbffb_1200x674.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vsJb!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d065767-957b-4bb7-bd66-0ea0d1edbffb_1200x674.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vsJb!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d065767-957b-4bb7-bd66-0ea0d1edbffb_1200x674.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vsJb!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d065767-957b-4bb7-bd66-0ea0d1edbffb_1200x674.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vsJb!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d065767-957b-4bb7-bd66-0ea0d1edbffb_1200x674.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vsJb!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d065767-957b-4bb7-bd66-0ea0d1edbffb_1200x674.jpeg" width="1200" height="674" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/0d065767-957b-4bb7-bd66-0ea0d1edbffb_1200x674.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:674,&quot;width&quot;:1200,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:134051,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.overlookedalpha.com/i/183527632?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d065767-957b-4bb7-bd66-0ea0d1edbffb_1200x674.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vsJb!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d065767-957b-4bb7-bd66-0ea0d1edbffb_1200x674.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vsJb!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d065767-957b-4bb7-bd66-0ea0d1edbffb_1200x674.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vsJb!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d065767-957b-4bb7-bd66-0ea0d1edbffb_1200x674.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vsJb!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d065767-957b-4bb7-bd66-0ea0d1edbffb_1200x674.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/this-successful-turnaround-is-under">
              Read more
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[This Luxury Compounder Is The Cheapest Its Been In Over A Decade]]></title><description><![CDATA[For years, this luxury compounder has quietly outperformed flashier rivals, growing revenues, adding brands, and expanding margins.]]></description><link>https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/this-luxury-compounder-is-the-cheapest</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/this-luxury-compounder-is-the-cheapest</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Overlooked Alpha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 11 Dec 2025 11:17:31 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xUdz!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa97cebc9-cdcb-4a60-92a5-29a8ec127b32_2080x1368.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Good morning.</p><p>For years, this luxury compounder has quietly outperformed flashier rivals, growing revenues, adding brands, and expanding margins with an asset-light model the market still doesn&#8217;t fully appreciate. </p><p>Now, after a rare guidance wobble and temporary external pressures, the stock is trading at its <strong>cheapest in over a decade</strong>. Behind the short-term noise sits a business with pricing power, a strong pipeline, and a clear path to margin recovery. </p><p>This is a founder-led business, US listed with a clean balance sheet. We think this is a solid opportunity to consider as we head into 2026. </p><p>Let&#8217;s dig in&#8230;</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xUdz!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa97cebc9-cdcb-4a60-92a5-29a8ec127b32_2080x1368.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xUdz!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa97cebc9-cdcb-4a60-92a5-29a8ec127b32_2080x1368.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xUdz!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa97cebc9-cdcb-4a60-92a5-29a8ec127b32_2080x1368.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xUdz!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa97cebc9-cdcb-4a60-92a5-29a8ec127b32_2080x1368.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xUdz!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa97cebc9-cdcb-4a60-92a5-29a8ec127b32_2080x1368.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xUdz!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa97cebc9-cdcb-4a60-92a5-29a8ec127b32_2080x1368.png" width="1456" height="958" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/a97cebc9-cdcb-4a60-92a5-29a8ec127b32_2080x1368.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:958,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:5279649,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.overlookedalpha.com/i/181077827?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa97cebc9-cdcb-4a60-92a5-29a8ec127b32_2080x1368.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xUdz!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa97cebc9-cdcb-4a60-92a5-29a8ec127b32_2080x1368.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xUdz!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa97cebc9-cdcb-4a60-92a5-29a8ec127b32_2080x1368.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xUdz!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa97cebc9-cdcb-4a60-92a5-29a8ec127b32_2080x1368.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xUdz!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa97cebc9-cdcb-4a60-92a5-29a8ec127b32_2080x1368.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/this-luxury-compounder-is-the-cheapest">
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      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Rule Of 60 Business Only 10 Times Earnings]]></title><description><![CDATA[This company operates in the staffing and recruitment industry where it has achieved 30% revenue growth over the past 12 months with 34% free cash flow and operating margins.]]></description><link>https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/this-rule-of-60-business-is-only</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/this-rule-of-60-business-is-only</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Overlooked Alpha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 12 Nov 2025 08:36:43 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EZkL!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3c386309-3064-45a1-9126-aea68584f2fb_5418x3612.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Good morning.</p><p>Today we are looking at a $140 million small cap that possesses some intriguing characteristics. </p><p>This company operates in the staffing and recruitment industry where it has achieved 30% revenue growth over the past 12 months with 34% free cash flow and operating margins. </p><p>Primarily a tech platform, this company benefits from sticky network effects, recurring revenue and word of mouth growth. Yet after accounting for cash on the company&#8217;s balance sheet, the valuation sits at just 10 times TTM operating income.</p><p>And this business remains widely overlooked. </p><p>Despite highly promising attributes, we found very few mentions of this company on social media and no significant investor coverage. Let&#8217;s take a closer look&#8230;</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EZkL!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3c386309-3064-45a1-9126-aea68584f2fb_5418x3612.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EZkL!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3c386309-3064-45a1-9126-aea68584f2fb_5418x3612.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EZkL!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3c386309-3064-45a1-9126-aea68584f2fb_5418x3612.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EZkL!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3c386309-3064-45a1-9126-aea68584f2fb_5418x3612.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EZkL!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3c386309-3064-45a1-9126-aea68584f2fb_5418x3612.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EZkL!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3c386309-3064-45a1-9126-aea68584f2fb_5418x3612.jpeg" width="1456" height="971" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/3c386309-3064-45a1-9126-aea68584f2fb_5418x3612.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:971,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:4805374,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.overlookedalpha.com/i/178370010?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3c386309-3064-45a1-9126-aea68584f2fb_5418x3612.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EZkL!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3c386309-3064-45a1-9126-aea68584f2fb_5418x3612.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EZkL!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3c386309-3064-45a1-9126-aea68584f2fb_5418x3612.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EZkL!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3c386309-3064-45a1-9126-aea68584f2fb_5418x3612.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EZkL!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3c386309-3064-45a1-9126-aea68584f2fb_5418x3612.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/this-rule-of-60-business-is-only">
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      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[AI Needs Power. This Company Delivers It]]></title><description><![CDATA[A reliable, cash-generating business poised to deliver steady income and serious upside as the energy transition accelerates&#8230;]]></description><link>https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/ai-needs-power-this-company-delivers</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/ai-needs-power-this-company-delivers</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Overlooked Alpha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 19 Oct 2025 11:22:20 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NCpR!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa07dceab-bea1-435b-a7e5-8aebb0db5d90_1000x667.webp" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Good morning.</p><p>Today we&#8217;re looking at a company at the crossroads of two unstoppable trends: the explosion in power demand from AI and America&#8217;s urgent need to rebuild its aging energy grid.</p><p>This business serves some of the fastest-growing states in the country &#8212; Nevada and Arizona &#8212; where population growth and data center expansion are fueling record energy consumption. </p><p>With a reform-minded regulator, a new CEO backed by Carl Icahn, and a multibillion-dollar pipeline expansion, this isn&#8217;t your typical sleepy utility. </p><p>It&#8217;s a reliable, cash-generating business poised to deliver steady income and serious upside as the energy transition accelerates&#8230;</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NCpR!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa07dceab-bea1-435b-a7e5-8aebb0db5d90_1000x667.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NCpR!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa07dceab-bea1-435b-a7e5-8aebb0db5d90_1000x667.webp 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NCpR!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa07dceab-bea1-435b-a7e5-8aebb0db5d90_1000x667.webp 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NCpR!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa07dceab-bea1-435b-a7e5-8aebb0db5d90_1000x667.webp 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NCpR!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa07dceab-bea1-435b-a7e5-8aebb0db5d90_1000x667.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NCpR!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa07dceab-bea1-435b-a7e5-8aebb0db5d90_1000x667.webp" width="1000" height="667" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/a07dceab-bea1-435b-a7e5-8aebb0db5d90_1000x667.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:667,&quot;width&quot;:1000,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:99120,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/webp&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.overlookedalpha.com/i/176345270?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa07dceab-bea1-435b-a7e5-8aebb0db5d90_1000x667.webp&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NCpR!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa07dceab-bea1-435b-a7e5-8aebb0db5d90_1000x667.webp 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NCpR!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa07dceab-bea1-435b-a7e5-8aebb0db5d90_1000x667.webp 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NCpR!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa07dceab-bea1-435b-a7e5-8aebb0db5d90_1000x667.webp 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NCpR!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa07dceab-bea1-435b-a7e5-8aebb0db5d90_1000x667.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/ai-needs-power-this-company-delivers">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[11x Earnings, 34% Margins and a Monopoly Position]]></title><description><![CDATA[Political winds are shifting, capital flowing back, and technology upgrading unlocking new profit streams for this quality company.]]></description><link>https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/11x-earnings-34-margins-and-a-monopoly</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/11x-earnings-34-margins-and-a-monopoly</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Overlooked Alpha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 21 Sep 2025 12:11:21 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NixB!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F61bad57e-6f5c-4a21-bf5c-b616af8ae507_1403x610.webp" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Good morning,</p><p>Today&#8217;s idea is a market gatekeeper operating with monopolistic characteristics and 30%+ free cash flow margins.</p><p>Despite this attractive profile, the company has seemingly gone under-the-radar with few recent mentions of this company on social media or other investment blogs.  </p><p>What we like most about this company are its increasingly diverse revenue streams which should help deliver a higher multiple in time.</p><p>Trading at a mere 11x P/E (while peers command multiples several turns higher) we estimate an initial 40% upside target based on modest assumptions. </p><p>Let&#8217;s dig in&#8230;</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NixB!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F61bad57e-6f5c-4a21-bf5c-b616af8ae507_1403x610.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NixB!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F61bad57e-6f5c-4a21-bf5c-b616af8ae507_1403x610.webp 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NixB!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F61bad57e-6f5c-4a21-bf5c-b616af8ae507_1403x610.webp 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NixB!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F61bad57e-6f5c-4a21-bf5c-b616af8ae507_1403x610.webp 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NixB!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F61bad57e-6f5c-4a21-bf5c-b616af8ae507_1403x610.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NixB!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F61bad57e-6f5c-4a21-bf5c-b616af8ae507_1403x610.webp" width="1403" height="610" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/61bad57e-6f5c-4a21-bf5c-b616af8ae507_1403x610.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:610,&quot;width&quot;:1403,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:162478,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/webp&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.overlookedalpha.com/i/173786616?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F61bad57e-6f5c-4a21-bf5c-b616af8ae507_1403x610.webp&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" 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class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/11x-earnings-34-margins-and-a-monopoly">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[5x Free Cash Flow For This European Gem]]></title><description><![CDATA[A classic deep value opportunity in Europe.]]></description><link>https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/5x-free-cash-flow-for-this-european</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/5x-free-cash-flow-for-this-european</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Overlooked Alpha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 24 Aug 2025 12:55:35 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!upHO!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1161280c-7df7-4018-a123-923c213a0468_2116x1341.avif" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Good morning. </p><p>Today we are looking at a well established but largely ignored consumer staple business trading in Europe.</p><p>The numbers are striking: this is a &#8364;450 million company that owns a 26% stake in a rapidly growing subsidiary worth &#8364;380-390 million on paper. Simple arithmetic suggests investors are getting the core business (which generates over &#8364;600 million in annual revenue) for next to nothing.</p><p>Yes, there are some operational headwinds from tariffs. But for investors willing to look beyond temporary noise, the mathematics of this opportunity are compelling.</p><p>Let&#8217;s dig in&#8230;</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!upHO!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1161280c-7df7-4018-a123-923c213a0468_2116x1341.avif" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!upHO!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1161280c-7df7-4018-a123-923c213a0468_2116x1341.avif 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!upHO!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1161280c-7df7-4018-a123-923c213a0468_2116x1341.avif 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!upHO!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1161280c-7df7-4018-a123-923c213a0468_2116x1341.avif 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!upHO!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1161280c-7df7-4018-a123-923c213a0468_2116x1341.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!upHO!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1161280c-7df7-4018-a123-923c213a0468_2116x1341.avif" width="1456" height="923" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/1161280c-7df7-4018-a123-923c213a0468_2116x1341.avif&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:923,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:126406,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/avif&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.overlookedalpha.com/i/171441527?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1161280c-7df7-4018-a123-923c213a0468_2116x1341.avif&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!upHO!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1161280c-7df7-4018-a123-923c213a0468_2116x1341.avif 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!upHO!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1161280c-7df7-4018-a123-923c213a0468_2116x1341.avif 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!upHO!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1161280c-7df7-4018-a123-923c213a0468_2116x1341.avif 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!upHO!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1161280c-7df7-4018-a123-923c213a0468_2116x1341.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/5x-free-cash-flow-for-this-european">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[160% Upside For This UK Homebuilder?]]></title><description><![CDATA[The UK&#8217;s largest homebuilder by volume is undergoing a bold transformation that could dramatically reshape its investment case.]]></description><link>https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/160-upside-for-this-uk-homebuilder</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/160-upside-for-this-uk-homebuilder</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Overlooked Alpha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 03 Aug 2025 12:53:14 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KsQX!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5a3bc5ba-9955-4b6b-9fd1-1e6cd4c32889_1400x800.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Good morning, </p><p>Today we are discussing an undervalued UK homebuilder that is shifting towards a capital-light partnerships model&#8212;drawing parallels to the highly successful NVR Inc. </p><p>Despite early stumbles and a sharp decline in the share price, this company can capitalize on structural housing shortages, rising demand for affordable homes, and government funding tailwinds. </p><p>There are risks. But with plans to unlock over &#163;1 billion in capital, return half of its earnings to shareholders, and scale to over 20,000 homes annually, this company could be one of the most mispriced opportunities in the UK market today&#8230;</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KsQX!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5a3bc5ba-9955-4b6b-9fd1-1e6cd4c32889_1400x800.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KsQX!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5a3bc5ba-9955-4b6b-9fd1-1e6cd4c32889_1400x800.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KsQX!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5a3bc5ba-9955-4b6b-9fd1-1e6cd4c32889_1400x800.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KsQX!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5a3bc5ba-9955-4b6b-9fd1-1e6cd4c32889_1400x800.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KsQX!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5a3bc5ba-9955-4b6b-9fd1-1e6cd4c32889_1400x800.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KsQX!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5a3bc5ba-9955-4b6b-9fd1-1e6cd4c32889_1400x800.jpeg" width="1400" height="800" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/5a3bc5ba-9955-4b6b-9fd1-1e6cd4c32889_1400x800.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:800,&quot;width&quot;:1400,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:963453,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.overlookedalpha.com/i/169030265?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5a3bc5ba-9955-4b6b-9fd1-1e6cd4c32889_1400x800.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KsQX!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5a3bc5ba-9955-4b6b-9fd1-1e6cd4c32889_1400x800.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KsQX!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5a3bc5ba-9955-4b6b-9fd1-1e6cd4c32889_1400x800.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KsQX!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5a3bc5ba-9955-4b6b-9fd1-1e6cd4c32889_1400x800.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KsQX!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5a3bc5ba-9955-4b6b-9fd1-1e6cd4c32889_1400x800.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h2><strong>Long Thesis</strong></h2>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/160-upside-for-this-uk-homebuilder">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Merger Of Equals Creates Multi-Bagger Potential]]></title><description><![CDATA[With a transformative merger set to unlock nearly $4 billion in synergies, we believe the stock trades at a significant discount to intrinsic value.]]></description><link>https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/merger-of-equals-creates-multi-bagger</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/merger-of-equals-creates-multi-bagger</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Overlooked Alpha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 03 Jul 2025 12:18:19 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!SfEu!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe206f5d8-4c9f-4790-8974-190ae71600fc_811x563.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>UPDATE 4/8/2025: We have closed our recommendation of GTLS today as the company has received an offer from Baker Hughes for $13.6 billion.</strong></p><div><hr></div><p>Good morning,</p><p>This week we&#8217;re writing about a compelling opportunity in the energy infrastructure space that we regard as significantly undervalued.</p><p>With a transformative merger set to unlock nearly $4 billion in synergies, we believe this US company can become an industrial powerhouse combining defensive cash flows and sustainable growth. </p><p>We first wrote about this company in 2022 when the market severely overreacted to news of an acquisition.  Who would have thought a similar situation would occur less than three years later?</p><p>Let&#8217;s dive in&#8230;</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!SfEu!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe206f5d8-4c9f-4790-8974-190ae71600fc_811x563.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!SfEu!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe206f5d8-4c9f-4790-8974-190ae71600fc_811x563.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!SfEu!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe206f5d8-4c9f-4790-8974-190ae71600fc_811x563.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!SfEu!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe206f5d8-4c9f-4790-8974-190ae71600fc_811x563.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!SfEu!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe206f5d8-4c9f-4790-8974-190ae71600fc_811x563.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!SfEu!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe206f5d8-4c9f-4790-8974-190ae71600fc_811x563.jpeg" width="811" height="563" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/e206f5d8-4c9f-4790-8974-190ae71600fc_811x563.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:563,&quot;width&quot;:811,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:117272,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.overlookedalpha.com/i/167159766?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe206f5d8-4c9f-4790-8974-190ae71600fc_811x563.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!SfEu!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe206f5d8-4c9f-4790-8974-190ae71600fc_811x563.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!SfEu!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe206f5d8-4c9f-4790-8974-190ae71600fc_811x563.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!SfEu!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe206f5d8-4c9f-4790-8974-190ae71600fc_811x563.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!SfEu!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe206f5d8-4c9f-4790-8974-190ae71600fc_811x563.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h2><strong>Introducing Chart Industries</strong></h2><p>Chart Industries (GTLS) sells products and services to companies that utilize gasses in their production process. They supply equipment used in liquefaction, separation and purification of hydrocarbons, and industrial gasses. Their cryogenic and thermal systems are used by energy and chemical companies to turn raw gas into marketable products. They also provide aftermarket services. (Liquefaction is the process of turning a gas into a liquid by cooling it down and/or increasing its pressure. It is usually done to store and transport gasses.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KjeB!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3e0c6fdb-0ca8-488b-8094-375b1c82982e_1180x414.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KjeB!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3e0c6fdb-0ca8-488b-8094-375b1c82982e_1180x414.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KjeB!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3e0c6fdb-0ca8-488b-8094-375b1c82982e_1180x414.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KjeB!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3e0c6fdb-0ca8-488b-8094-375b1c82982e_1180x414.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KjeB!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3e0c6fdb-0ca8-488b-8094-375b1c82982e_1180x414.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KjeB!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3e0c6fdb-0ca8-488b-8094-375b1c82982e_1180x414.png" width="1180" height="414" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/3e0c6fdb-0ca8-488b-8094-375b1c82982e_1180x414.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:414,&quot;width&quot;:1180,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:92686,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.overlookedalpha.com/i/167159766?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3e0c6fdb-0ca8-488b-8094-375b1c82982e_1180x414.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KjeB!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3e0c6fdb-0ca8-488b-8094-375b1c82982e_1180x414.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KjeB!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3e0c6fdb-0ca8-488b-8094-375b1c82982e_1180x414.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KjeB!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3e0c6fdb-0ca8-488b-8094-375b1c82982e_1180x414.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KjeB!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3e0c6fdb-0ca8-488b-8094-375b1c82982e_1180x414.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Chart&#8217;s equipment is primarily used for the following purposes:</p><p>1. Liquefaction - Turning gases like Hydrogen, helium and natural gas into liquids for transportation and storage.<br>2. Storage - Cryogenic tanks and high-pressure containers to store these gases safely.<br>3. Compression - Machines that pressurize gasses and make them easier to store or move through pipelines.</p><p>Chart operates through the following segments: cryogenic tank solutions, heat transfer systems, specialty products and repair services &amp; leasing services. The chart below shows the revenue from different segments:</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hfSy!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F511d4b89-cf48-41af-b4d7-a4d8321a753a_1522x1088.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hfSy!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F511d4b89-cf48-41af-b4d7-a4d8321a753a_1522x1088.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hfSy!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F511d4b89-cf48-41af-b4d7-a4d8321a753a_1522x1088.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hfSy!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F511d4b89-cf48-41af-b4d7-a4d8321a753a_1522x1088.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hfSy!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F511d4b89-cf48-41af-b4d7-a4d8321a753a_1522x1088.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hfSy!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F511d4b89-cf48-41af-b4d7-a4d8321a753a_1522x1088.png" width="1456" height="1041" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/511d4b89-cf48-41af-b4d7-a4d8321a753a_1522x1088.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1041,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:30590,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.overlookedalpha.com/i/167159766?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F511d4b89-cf48-41af-b4d7-a4d8321a753a_1522x1088.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hfSy!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F511d4b89-cf48-41af-b4d7-a4d8321a753a_1522x1088.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hfSy!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F511d4b89-cf48-41af-b4d7-a4d8321a753a_1522x1088.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hfSy!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F511d4b89-cf48-41af-b4d7-a4d8321a753a_1522x1088.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hfSy!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F511d4b89-cf48-41af-b4d7-a4d8321a753a_1522x1088.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>The next chart shows how the Operating margins for different segments have evolved:</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7zwz!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcb06255c-b974-4841-94c7-ede90ba87641_1506x1096.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7zwz!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcb06255c-b974-4841-94c7-ede90ba87641_1506x1096.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7zwz!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcb06255c-b974-4841-94c7-ede90ba87641_1506x1096.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7zwz!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcb06255c-b974-4841-94c7-ede90ba87641_1506x1096.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7zwz!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcb06255c-b974-4841-94c7-ede90ba87641_1506x1096.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7zwz!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcb06255c-b974-4841-94c7-ede90ba87641_1506x1096.png" width="1456" height="1060" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/cb06255c-b974-4841-94c7-ede90ba87641_1506x1096.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1060,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:31273,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.overlookedalpha.com/i/167159766?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcb06255c-b974-4841-94c7-ede90ba87641_1506x1096.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7zwz!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcb06255c-b974-4841-94c7-ede90ba87641_1506x1096.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7zwz!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcb06255c-b974-4841-94c7-ede90ba87641_1506x1096.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7zwz!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcb06255c-b974-4841-94c7-ede90ba87641_1506x1096.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7zwz!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcb06255c-b974-4841-94c7-ede90ba87641_1506x1096.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Cryogenic tank solutions</strong> allows firms to store and transport liquefied gases at extremely low temperatures (-160 C to -253 C). These includes cryo storage tanks, mobile tankers (for transportation), containers for intermodal transportation, cylinders (portable storage for labs) and vacuum insulated tanks. The major users of cryogenic gas solutions are industrial gas producers and distributors. Also, chemical producers, manufacturers of electrical components, health care organizations and companies in the O&amp;G industries.</p><p><strong>Heat transfer systems</strong> are used to transfer heat or cold to maintain temperature in industrial processes, removing impurities from gases, capturing and reusing energy. 25% of their revenues comes from the heat transfer system segment which supplies equipment to petrochemical &amp; natural gas processing, petroleum refineries, power generation, and industrial gas companies.</p><p>Their products in the <strong>specialty segment</strong> (27% of revenue) make <em>niche</em> cryogenic and thermal systems. They are used in industrial processes by food &amp; beverage companies, LNG system for over-the-road trucks, aerospace, carbon capture, nuclear, lasers in precision manufacturing, biofuels, metals &amp; mining, water treatment etc. They make heat exchangers (used to transfer heat between liquids or gases) and axial fans for data centers, which is a market where they are seeing a lot of growth. </p><p>In Q1FY25 they also saw growth from the space exploration market, nuclear and marine industries. Q1 orders from these markets were higher than total FY24 orders from these markets. They also use Ventsim, their proprietary mine and tunnel ventilation software used in road tunnels, mines, subways to manage and monitor airflow, heat, gases and other ventilation information.</p><p><strong>Repairs, services and leasing (RSL)</strong> makes up more than 33% of their revenues. They have over 50 service centers globally. Aftermarket services includes extended warranties, plant start-up, parts, 24/7 support, monitoring and process optimization, as well as repair, maintenance, spares, and retrofitting. </p><p>In other words, Chart is a highly diversified industrial with a proven history of service growth and incorporating new acquisitions. </p><h2><strong>Business Dynamics</strong></h2><p>Quality, technical expertise and timeliness are important for the business and contracts are bid for on a competitive basis. Also, heavy regulations means the focus is on reliability. Any issues in Chart&#8217;s products could lead to plant shutdowns. The company maintains product liability coverage, which is why quality is very important for them.</p><p>Demand for their products is driven by an increasing focus on energy access and security, focus on decarbonization (LNG), data center growth and aging infrastructure (repair and retrofitting segment) etc.</p><p>The company has grown through a series of acquisitions and by capitalizing on emerging opportunities in various markets. In 2024, international markets accounted for 60% of total revenue. This marks a significant shift from 2022, when North America contributed 61% and Asia Pacific only 12%. By 2024, North America's share had declined to 45%, while Asia Pacific's increased to 22%, reflecting the company&#8217;s deeper penetration and growing opportunities in the APAC region.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IMqg!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F44bc5293-1274-470b-9f8d-3c6e63902859_996x665.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IMqg!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F44bc5293-1274-470b-9f8d-3c6e63902859_996x665.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IMqg!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F44bc5293-1274-470b-9f8d-3c6e63902859_996x665.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IMqg!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F44bc5293-1274-470b-9f8d-3c6e63902859_996x665.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IMqg!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F44bc5293-1274-470b-9f8d-3c6e63902859_996x665.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IMqg!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F44bc5293-1274-470b-9f8d-3c6e63902859_996x665.png" width="996" height="665" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/44bc5293-1274-470b-9f8d-3c6e63902859_996x665.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:665,&quot;width&quot;:996,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:1622444,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.overlookedalpha.com/i/167159766?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F44bc5293-1274-470b-9f8d-3c6e63902859_996x665.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IMqg!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F44bc5293-1274-470b-9f8d-3c6e63902859_996x665.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IMqg!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F44bc5293-1274-470b-9f8d-3c6e63902859_996x665.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IMqg!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F44bc5293-1274-470b-9f8d-3c6e63902859_996x665.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IMqg!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F44bc5293-1274-470b-9f8d-3c6e63902859_996x665.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><em>source: businessalabama.com</em></p><h2><strong>Merger Of Equals</strong></h2><p>Flowserve and Chart announced a $19B all-stock merger on 4th June 2025. Chart will receive 3.125 Flow shares for every 1 Chart share and Chart will own 53.5% of the combined company, while Flow will own 46.5%.</p><p>Flowserve makes pumps, control valves, pressure seals and it serves oil &amp; gas, petrochemicals, power, water, LNG and chemical industries. They also have a strong aftermarket services segment. </p><p>Flow has lower margins and they are currently on a journey to improve their margins. Their financial performance has improved in the last few years:</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EG9C!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3f9e2a78-305c-4f2b-bf3c-211f5c0c4949_1962x734.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EG9C!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3f9e2a78-305c-4f2b-bf3c-211f5c0c4949_1962x734.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EG9C!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3f9e2a78-305c-4f2b-bf3c-211f5c0c4949_1962x734.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EG9C!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3f9e2a78-305c-4f2b-bf3c-211f5c0c4949_1962x734.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EG9C!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3f9e2a78-305c-4f2b-bf3c-211f5c0c4949_1962x734.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EG9C!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3f9e2a78-305c-4f2b-bf3c-211f5c0c4949_1962x734.png" width="1456" height="545" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/3f9e2a78-305c-4f2b-bf3c-211f5c0c4949_1962x734.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:545,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:125958,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.overlookedalpha.com/i/167159766?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3f9e2a78-305c-4f2b-bf3c-211f5c0c4949_1962x734.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EG9C!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3f9e2a78-305c-4f2b-bf3c-211f5c0c4949_1962x734.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EG9C!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3f9e2a78-305c-4f2b-bf3c-211f5c0c4949_1962x734.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EG9C!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3f9e2a78-305c-4f2b-bf3c-211f5c0c4949_1962x734.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EG9C!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3f9e2a78-305c-4f2b-bf3c-211f5c0c4949_1962x734.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Together, post-merger they will offer a <strong>full solution</strong>, from <strong>gas compression and liquefaction</strong> to <strong>storage, flow control, and final delivery</strong>.</p><p>Chart provides hydrogen technology across the entire value chain&#8212;including production (hydrogen liquefaction equipment), transportation (cryogenic tanks), storage (vacuum-insulated tanks), and end-use applications (fueling stations, hydrogen compressors, and heat exchangers). Flowserve complements this value chain with its valves, pumps, and seals, which are critical for flow and pressure control, leakage prevention, and efficient loading and unloading.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aLb6!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7e812741-763a-463f-bfa0-e1d1f49e469c_2054x870.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aLb6!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7e812741-763a-463f-bfa0-e1d1f49e469c_2054x870.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aLb6!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7e812741-763a-463f-bfa0-e1d1f49e469c_2054x870.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aLb6!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7e812741-763a-463f-bfa0-e1d1f49e469c_2054x870.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aLb6!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7e812741-763a-463f-bfa0-e1d1f49e469c_2054x870.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aLb6!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7e812741-763a-463f-bfa0-e1d1f49e469c_2054x870.png" width="1456" height="617" 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The deal allowed Chart to provide aftermarket services but they still have a lot of room to grow in different geographies in this area. The focus is on servicing clients globally and the Flowserve merger will help them expand to Asia Pacific (Malaysia, Thailand, Middle East), since Flow has a much stronger presence in those markets. </p><h2>The Opportunity</h2><p>Growing through mergers and acquisitions is part of Chart&#8217;s business strategy. They have continuously done this to take advantage of synergies and market opportunities and the Howden acquisition of 2023 is such an example. This acquisition was a success &#8211; exceeding cost and commercial synergies by 33% within two years. It helped Chart to expand its global footprint, secured their largest ever hydrogen compressor order (possible because of Chart and Howden tech) and also decreased the net leverage ratio from 3.35 in 2023 to 2.5 to 2024. They also expanded their durable aftermarket service and repair business with 40%+ gross margins. RSL gross margins were around mid-30s pre acquisition and increased to mid-40s after. They also leveraged Howden&#8217;s digital offerings - Ventsim used for remote monitoring. </p><p>The focus on growing the RSL segment is because revenues in this segment have shown stickiness, even when economic uncertainty was high. Customers are more focused on maintaining their asset base than purchasing new equipment during times of high uncertainty, which leads to focus on repair and retrofitting spending.<br><br>There is also significant room for growth across various geographies. With a focus on serving clients globally through their RSL (Repair, Service &amp; Leasing) segment, the merger with Flowserve will enhance their ability to expand offerings in regions such as Asia Pacific&#8212;including Malaysia, Thailand and the Middle East. RSL is the high margin segment of their business (47% gross margins in FY24, up from 38% in FY22). RSL margins are also dependent on volume growth, which is another reason the company is focused on growing revenues in the RSL segment.</p><p>LNG companies have seen increased activity in the last few years and are still going strong. Some of the other opportunities includes increased demand in Asia and Middle East in compressors and steam turbines and interest in fans, air coolers and cryogenic cooling. Additionally, the company anticipates a $400M opportunity in the data center market over the next 12-18 months. The Flow merger will further help them with cross-selling in these markets and increase their presence in the aftermarket services segment. </p><h2><strong>Pre-Merger</strong></h2><p>Pre-merger Chart had $5.14B in backlog after Q1FY25 (up from $4.845B at the end of 2024 and $4.278B in 2023). Consolidated orders were more than $5B as of Dec 31 2024, and increased by $1.32B in Q1FY25 orders. They define backlogs as orders which have been signed by the firm or other contractual arrangements.</p><h2>Financial Highlights</h2><ul><li><p>Currently $3.75B in debt and around $300M in cash, with a market cap of $7.4B. However, more than 82% of the debt is due after 2030. The interest costs are quite high (more than 8.5%), due to most of that debt being taken up in 2023&#8212;a period of high interest costs.</p></li><li><p>In FY2024, sales, GM and OPM all grew. Sales growth was broad-based, across all 4 segments.</p></li><li><p>They have more room for margin improvement as SG&amp;A is likely to decline with restructuring costs from Howden likely to decrease.</p></li><li><p>Currency movement affected their revenues negatively in 2024. It&#8217;s likely that effect will be reversed in 2025.</p></li><li><p>CFO in 2024 was $503M, $335M higher than 2023. Chart&#8217;s synergies and focus on operational efficiencies have helped to improve their margins. Additionally, lawsuit claims settled in 2023 affected CFO by $73M.</p></li><li><p>Before the Flow acquisition&#8212;Capex in 2025 was expected to be around $110M . After the acquisition it is expected to be round 2% of the combine company sales.</p></li><li><p>The company does not plan to raise any cash; they believe cash from operations will be enough. They also have no plans to pay dividends.</p></li><li><p>They have exposure to a number of international markets like China, UK, Europe, India, Canada, Saudi Arabia.</p></li><li><p>Their book to bill ratio is expected to be 1+ in FY25. In Q1FY25, Book to bill was 1.3, higher than 1.2 in Q1FY24 indicating continued strong demand even with tariff uncertainties.</p></li><li><p>Specialty products margins recovered and were higher than 30% for the first time since FY22.</p></li><li><p>RSL (repairs, services and leasing) segment now makes up 1/3<sup>rd</sup> of their revenue and half of their operating profit. </p></li><li><p>GPM for HTS (Heat Transfer Systems) and specialty products segments were in the mid-30s. Mid-20s for CTS (Cryo Tank Solutions) and RSL was mid-40s.</p></li><li><p>LNG pipeline demand continues to be strong.</p></li><li><p>Overall, the company estimated $50M impact from tariffs. Steel and aluminum tariffs have increased from 25% to 50%, however the overall tariffs on China have reduced to 10% since they posted this estimate. They have an exemption to import aluminum sheets duty-free till September 2025 and they have flexible manufacturing to dodge tariffs.</p></li><li><p>They also have a strong manufacturing footprint in the US and most steel is sourced domestically. For existing backlogs their costs are locked in.</p></li><li><p>2<sup>nd</sup> half of 2025 is expected to be better than 1<sup>st</sup> half of the year due to timing.</p></li><li><p>They primarily manufacture cryogenic tanks, materials for industrial gas and power generation in China.</p></li><li><p>We have seen that Chart and other companies have learned from the 2021 supply chain crisis to be flexible with their manufacturing, and took swift action after the 2025 Trump tariffs. Chart does not expect any substantial impacts.</p></li><li><p>They also made a few divestitures. They sold off the Roots business for $300M, which was acquired as a part of the Howden acquisition. They also sold other businesses for $175M. Again stating their focus on growing through acquisitions while still remaining efficient and focused in their products and services. </p></li></ul><h2>Pre-merger Guidance</h2><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!L8kf!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F48b7e3f1-d914-4260-844b-50ae0fe32802_1542x666.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!L8kf!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F48b7e3f1-d914-4260-844b-50ae0fe32802_1542x666.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!L8kf!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F48b7e3f1-d914-4260-844b-50ae0fe32802_1542x666.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!L8kf!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F48b7e3f1-d914-4260-844b-50ae0fe32802_1542x666.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!L8kf!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F48b7e3f1-d914-4260-844b-50ae0fe32802_1542x666.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!L8kf!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F48b7e3f1-d914-4260-844b-50ae0fe32802_1542x666.png" width="1456" height="629" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/48b7e3f1-d914-4260-844b-50ae0fe32802_1542x666.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:629,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:255160,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.overlookedalpha.com/i/167159766?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F48b7e3f1-d914-4260-844b-50ae0fe32802_1542x666.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!L8kf!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F48b7e3f1-d914-4260-844b-50ae0fe32802_1542x666.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!L8kf!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F48b7e3f1-d914-4260-844b-50ae0fe32802_1542x666.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!L8kf!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F48b7e3f1-d914-4260-844b-50ae0fe32802_1542x666.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!L8kf!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F48b7e3f1-d914-4260-844b-50ae0fe32802_1542x666.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h2><strong>Post-Merger</strong></h2><p>After the merger announcement on June 4<sup>th</sup> Chart Industries stock fell 9% and Flowserve stock fell 6%. However, since then both stocks have erased those losses and the stock prices are in green. We also saw a positive market reaction after <em>Jefferies posted a positive outlook on the Flow and Chart merger a few days ago, which pushed the stock price of Chart up 10% in the last 5 days. Something similar happened around their Howden announcement.  </em></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!B2jv!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F573fd809-ee9e-4414-9fb3-9697f8f76637_1566x807.avif" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!B2jv!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F573fd809-ee9e-4414-9fb3-9697f8f76637_1566x807.avif 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!B2jv!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F573fd809-ee9e-4414-9fb3-9697f8f76637_1566x807.avif 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!B2jv!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F573fd809-ee9e-4414-9fb3-9697f8f76637_1566x807.avif 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!B2jv!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F573fd809-ee9e-4414-9fb3-9697f8f76637_1566x807.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!B2jv!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F573fd809-ee9e-4414-9fb3-9697f8f76637_1566x807.avif" width="1456" height="750" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/573fd809-ee9e-4414-9fb3-9697f8f76637_1566x807.avif&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:750,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:182161,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/avif&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.overlookedalpha.com/i/167159766?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F573fd809-ee9e-4414-9fb3-9697f8f76637_1566x807.avif&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!B2jv!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F573fd809-ee9e-4414-9fb3-9697f8f76637_1566x807.avif 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!B2jv!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F573fd809-ee9e-4414-9fb3-9697f8f76637_1566x807.avif 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!B2jv!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F573fd809-ee9e-4414-9fb3-9697f8f76637_1566x807.avif 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!B2jv!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F573fd809-ee9e-4414-9fb3-9697f8f76637_1566x807.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Post-merger, Chart CEO Jillian Evanko will serve as the board chair; Flow CEO will serve as the CEO and the 12 board of directors will comprise of 6 people from each company. Transaction is expected to be closed in Q4FY25 and the new company name hasn&#8217;t yet been decided.</p><p>Some of the post-merger benefits include:</p><ul><li><p>They&#8217;ll now have <strong>200+ locations globally &#8211; 150+ Flow and 50+ Chart locations</strong>. They plan to expand aftermarket services coverage from 40% to 80% of the installed base. </p></li><li><p>The merger will produce <strong>$300M annual cost synergies</strong>, which will be fully realized in the next 3 years. Cost synergies will come in from year 1 (25% in year 1 and 33% or more expected in year 2). Synergies will include organizational efficiencies (engineering, design, aftermarket services), material procurement savings and physical locations consolidation. Additionally, the RSL segment can drive gross margin growth as both companies aftermarket services have mid 40s gross margins, which still have room for improvement as aftermarket services is a high margin segment. Higher content coverage and aftermarket leads to higher margins and aftermarket revenues are stickier. RLS segment is more recession proof and as LNG investment declines over the coming years (after the ongoing wave of heavy energy investment) the RSL segment will become more important for them.</p></li><li><p>Revenue synergies will contribute by driving <strong>2% incremental revenue growth</strong> for the combined company. The merger is also expected to amplify the data center opportunities by 25%. Revenue synergies will show up in year 2 and 3. There is nothing that suggests cannibalization of revenue either. Chart believes 75-80% of industrial applications they serve involves a flow element which will allow for cross-selling. </p></li><li><p>The merger will also lead to a <strong>stronger balance sheet </strong>for the combined company. In Q1FY25, the net leverage ratio (Net debt/Adjusted EBITDA) was 2.91. The expected net leverage ratio of the combined company will be between to 2.0-2.5x by the end of 2025. An all stock merger allows them to maintain the investment grade rating.</p></li><li><p>The merger will also support cross-selling, full life cycle support and <strong>combining Flow&#8217;s IOT (RedRaven) and Chart&#8217;s digital platform (Ventsim) </strong>to monitor data of rotating equipment and generate more subscription revenue.</p></li><li><p>This merger will also help improve <strong>volatility in earnings. </strong>Historical revenue volatility should improve by 4% after the merger. The divergence in GTLS and FLS cash flow can be seen below:</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BBGy!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9c52ab48-dcdb-4f97-8f61-3e76fe6a2562_2400x1240.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BBGy!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9c52ab48-dcdb-4f97-8f61-3e76fe6a2562_2400x1240.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BBGy!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9c52ab48-dcdb-4f97-8f61-3e76fe6a2562_2400x1240.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BBGy!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9c52ab48-dcdb-4f97-8f61-3e76fe6a2562_2400x1240.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BBGy!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9c52ab48-dcdb-4f97-8f61-3e76fe6a2562_2400x1240.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BBGy!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9c52ab48-dcdb-4f97-8f61-3e76fe6a2562_2400x1240.png" width="1456" height="752" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/9c52ab48-dcdb-4f97-8f61-3e76fe6a2562_2400x1240.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:752,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:205236,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.overlookedalpha.com/i/167159766?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9c52ab48-dcdb-4f97-8f61-3e76fe6a2562_2400x1240.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BBGy!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9c52ab48-dcdb-4f97-8f61-3e76fe6a2562_2400x1240.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BBGy!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9c52ab48-dcdb-4f97-8f61-3e76fe6a2562_2400x1240.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BBGy!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9c52ab48-dcdb-4f97-8f61-3e76fe6a2562_2400x1240.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BBGy!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9c52ab48-dcdb-4f97-8f61-3e76fe6a2562_2400x1240.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div></li></ul><p>Flowserve has a strong footprint in Asia pacific. Synergies will help them take advantage of energy markets globally (both companies are focused on energy access/security/intensity and decarbonization). </p><h2>Post-Merger Guidance</h2><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bD8F!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e798694-98fd-4410-bb1e-a9e4ea867db8_1894x1008.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bD8F!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e798694-98fd-4410-bb1e-a9e4ea867db8_1894x1008.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bD8F!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e798694-98fd-4410-bb1e-a9e4ea867db8_1894x1008.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bD8F!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e798694-98fd-4410-bb1e-a9e4ea867db8_1894x1008.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bD8F!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e798694-98fd-4410-bb1e-a9e4ea867db8_1894x1008.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bD8F!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e798694-98fd-4410-bb1e-a9e4ea867db8_1894x1008.png" width="1456" height="775" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/9e798694-98fd-4410-bb1e-a9e4ea867db8_1894x1008.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:775,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:653922,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.overlookedalpha.com/i/167159766?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e798694-98fd-4410-bb1e-a9e4ea867db8_1894x1008.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bD8F!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e798694-98fd-4410-bb1e-a9e4ea867db8_1894x1008.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bD8F!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e798694-98fd-4410-bb1e-a9e4ea867db8_1894x1008.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bD8F!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e798694-98fd-4410-bb1e-a9e4ea867db8_1894x1008.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bD8F!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e798694-98fd-4410-bb1e-a9e4ea867db8_1894x1008.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Overall, the merger makes sense. Chart makes equipment for process technology like cryogenic, compression, thermal, while Flowserve specializes in flow management. The combined company will offer both thermal and flow management solutions for gases and liquids, enabling it to fully serve a range of energy end markets including LNG, nuclear, and power generation. </p><p>One example of synergies is through Chart&#8217;s IPSMR process technology, which is used in gas liquefaction. Flowserve can immediately begin selling its valves and pumps to major LNG projects that Chart is involved in, alongside Chart&#8217;s mission-critical equipment such as air coolers, compressors, and brazed aluminum heat exchangers</p><p>Another example: RedRaven is Flow&#8217;s IOT based monitoring system used to monitor Flow&#8217;s products and they believe Ventsim and RedRaven can work together well and generate more subscription revenue from servicing a broader asset base. It&#8217;ll be the first integrated software solution used for monitoring throughout the value chain. The combined company will position them as peers to Ingersoll Rand or Dover and a leader in that market.</p><p>One objection that is legitimate is the worry that Flow&#8217;s margins are lower. Flow&#8217;s OPM have been 8% and 10% in the last years and they are on a journey of margin improvement. However they are still lower than Chart&#8217;s OPM of 11.6% and 15.6% in the last 2 years. The difference in GM is less, around 2% and Flow is working on improving their margins.</p><h2>Valuation</h2><p><strong>STANDALONE</strong></p><p>On a standalone basis, Chart Industries looks undervalued using modest assumptions. Currently the biggest risk is their high debt levels with 50% of their capital made up of debt and their interest costs are quite high at 8.7%. However, simply using the current EV/EBITDA of 11.3 and FY25 guidance EBITDA of around $1.2B we get an undervaluation of more than 30%.</p><p>Flowserve on the other hand looks slightly less undervalued. EV/EBITDA is a good multiple to use because of the differing debt levels of both companies. Flow have $4.6B in revenues, but with lower OPM of 11%+. They haven&#8217;t seen as high revenue growth as Chart but Flow&#8217;s revenues are still higher by $400M. Also, they are focused on margin improvement and they have low debt (Flow have around $1.5B in debt and $540M cash). Flow is currently valued close to $6.8B, while Chart is valued around $7.3B. This explains the 53.5% - 46.5% merger. </p><p>However, the risk is if Chart is significantly undervalued or Flowserve is significantly overvalued, an all-stock merger is not considered ideal for Chart shareholders as Chart will be using its more expensive stock to buy the less expensive Flow stock.</p><p><strong>SYNERGIES</strong></p><p>The synergies primarily stem from two sources: cost synergies driven by margin expansion, and revenue synergies from cross-selling opportunities. Revenue synergies are expected to contribute an incremental 2%, while cost synergies are projected to total $300 million, fully realized by the end of year three.</p><p>To calculate revenue synergies, we will take 2% of $8.7B (2% revenue synergies from the combined company&#8217;s revenue) with a combined company operating margin of 14% and discount it using the combined company WACC of 7.5%. We get $400M of value-added from revenue synergies.</p><p>Cost synergies will be $300M but they will be fully achieved from year 3 onwards. We take $300M discount it using the combined company WACC (= 300 / 0.075) and further discount it back 3 years. Total added value from cost savings would be slightly more than $3.5B so total synergies would be valued at around $3.9B.</p><p><strong>COMBINED COMPANY</strong></p><p>Post-merger cost synergies in first 3 years will drive margin improvements, alongside Flow&#8217;s target to improve margins (for their own products). Margin improvement can come in various ways as discussed &#8211; improvement in SG&amp;A expenses (eliminating overlap) and further exploring aftermarket services which is a high margin business. </p><p>Revenue synergies are expected to drive a 2% increase in sales, primarily through cross-selling opportunities, as both companies share significant overlap in their target customer base. Furthermore, the combined company will have a healthier debt ratio and lower interest costs, which will decrease their WACC. The company also expects synergies in working capital by streamlining and managing procurement better. </p><p>Chart&#8217;s CEO noted that these synergies represent baseline targets for the next three years, with significant potential for upside. Our assumptions are conservative&#8212;for instance, we assume that the WACC remains unchanged. However, if the company chooses to reduce its debt, it could lower the WACC, which will present significant upside. Additionally, we assume a tax rate slightly above the U.S. corporate tax rate, reflecting the historically higher effective tax rates of both companies. In doing so, we see the company as significantly undervalued by a 35.5% degree:</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MRWg!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5db9ea96-3a87-45c4-84e2-8b727c192582_2274x1068.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MRWg!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5db9ea96-3a87-45c4-84e2-8b727c192582_2274x1068.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MRWg!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5db9ea96-3a87-45c4-84e2-8b727c192582_2274x1068.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MRWg!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5db9ea96-3a87-45c4-84e2-8b727c192582_2274x1068.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MRWg!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5db9ea96-3a87-45c4-84e2-8b727c192582_2274x1068.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MRWg!,w_2400,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5db9ea96-3a87-45c4-84e2-8b727c192582_2274x1068.png" width="1200" height="563.7362637362637" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/5db9ea96-3a87-45c4-84e2-8b727c192582_2274x1068.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:false,&quot;imageSize&quot;:&quot;large&quot;,&quot;height&quot;:684,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:1200,&quot;bytes&quot;:330627,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.overlookedalpha.com/i/167159766?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5db9ea96-3a87-45c4-84e2-8b727c192582_2274x1068.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:&quot;center&quot;,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-large" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MRWg!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5db9ea96-3a87-45c4-84e2-8b727c192582_2274x1068.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MRWg!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5db9ea96-3a87-45c4-84e2-8b727c192582_2274x1068.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MRWg!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5db9ea96-3a87-45c4-84e2-8b727c192582_2274x1068.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MRWg!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5db9ea96-3a87-45c4-84e2-8b727c192582_2274x1068.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Additionally, on an EV/EBITDA basis, the combined company indicates a valuation of 10x. ($19 billion divided by the $1.9 billion expected EBITDA provided by the post-merger guidance). That multiple is sharply lower than historical multiples for both Chart Industries and Flowserve.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w6AX!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0c8666d6-cb03-48a1-b437-b5a21d9082a5_2400x1240.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w6AX!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0c8666d6-cb03-48a1-b437-b5a21d9082a5_2400x1240.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w6AX!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0c8666d6-cb03-48a1-b437-b5a21d9082a5_2400x1240.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w6AX!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0c8666d6-cb03-48a1-b437-b5a21d9082a5_2400x1240.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w6AX!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0c8666d6-cb03-48a1-b437-b5a21d9082a5_2400x1240.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w6AX!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0c8666d6-cb03-48a1-b437-b5a21d9082a5_2400x1240.png" width="1456" height="752" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/0c8666d6-cb03-48a1-b437-b5a21d9082a5_2400x1240.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:752,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:205263,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.overlookedalpha.com/i/167159766?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0c8666d6-cb03-48a1-b437-b5a21d9082a5_2400x1240.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w6AX!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0c8666d6-cb03-48a1-b437-b5a21d9082a5_2400x1240.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w6AX!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0c8666d6-cb03-48a1-b437-b5a21d9082a5_2400x1240.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w6AX!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0c8666d6-cb03-48a1-b437-b5a21d9082a5_2400x1240.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w6AX!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0c8666d6-cb03-48a1-b437-b5a21d9082a5_2400x1240.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h2>Conclusion</h2><p>Chart was already cheap pre-merger and this merger is positive for them as there are significant synergies they can achieve through cross-selling and margin improvements. We believe the market is yet to price in the synergies from this merger. </p><p>The increased visibility following the merger could act as a catalyst for the stock price in the next few months, while successful execution of the merger positions the company for strong long-term growth and the potential to become a multi-bagger over time. Positive reports from analysts like Jefferies should also help in this regard.</p><div><hr></div><p><em>Thank you for reading Overlooked Alpha.</em></p><p><em>If you enjoyed this analysis please help us by clicking the <strong>&#8220;&#9825;</strong> <strong>Like&#8221; </strong>button.</em></p><div><hr></div><p>Disclaimer: The information in this newsletter is not and should not be construed as investment advice. Overlooked Alpha is for information, entertainment purposes only. Contributors are not registered financial advisors and do not purport to tell or recommend which securities customers should buy or sell for themselves. We strive to provide accurate analysis but mistakes and errors do occur. No warranty is made to the accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information provided. The information in the publication may become outdated and there is no obligation to update any such information. Past performance is not a guide to future performance, future returns are not guaranteed, and a loss of original capital may occur. Contributors may hold or acquire securities covered in this publication, and may purchase or sell such securities at any time, including security positions that are inconsistent or contrary to positions mentioned in this publication, all without prior notice to any of the subscribers to this publication. Investors should make their own decisions regarding the prospects of any company discussed herein based on such investors&#8217; own review of publicly available information and should not rely on the information contained herein.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Delivery Chain That's Beating All Global Records]]></title><description><![CDATA[Restaurant Stock With 35-70% Upside]]></description><link>https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/the-delivery-chain-thats-beating</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/the-delivery-chain-thats-beating</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Overlooked Alpha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 05 Jun 2025 12:35:28 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FNGO!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe0502f75-ba7e-49df-948e-a672507fb74c_4928x3264.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Good morning.</p><p>Today, we&#8217;re back with a new idea which we&#8217;re really excited about. This is a fast growing restaurant business operating a proven franchise model. </p><p>The company is trading in line or cheaper than peers despite having a much larger opportunity for growth. We think the company can more than double store count over the next five years.</p><p>Today&#8217;s analysis includes a bottom up DCF model, scenario framework and social media research to validate consumer sentiment.</p><p>We think there&#8217;s a case for 35-70% upside over the next 12 months. Let&#8217;s dig in&#8230;</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FNGO!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe0502f75-ba7e-49df-948e-a672507fb74c_4928x3264.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FNGO!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe0502f75-ba7e-49df-948e-a672507fb74c_4928x3264.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FNGO!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe0502f75-ba7e-49df-948e-a672507fb74c_4928x3264.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FNGO!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe0502f75-ba7e-49df-948e-a672507fb74c_4928x3264.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FNGO!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe0502f75-ba7e-49df-948e-a672507fb74c_4928x3264.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FNGO!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe0502f75-ba7e-49df-948e-a672507fb74c_4928x3264.jpeg" width="1456" height="964" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/e0502f75-ba7e-49df-948e-a672507fb74c_4928x3264.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:964,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:2507622,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.overlookedalpha.com/i/165077331?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe0502f75-ba7e-49df-948e-a672507fb74c_4928x3264.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FNGO!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe0502f75-ba7e-49df-948e-a672507fb74c_4928x3264.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FNGO!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe0502f75-ba7e-49df-948e-a672507fb74c_4928x3264.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FNGO!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe0502f75-ba7e-49df-948e-a672507fb74c_4928x3264.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FNGO!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe0502f75-ba7e-49df-948e-a672507fb74c_4928x3264.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/the-delivery-chain-thats-beating">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Mispriced Opportunity: Niche Video Game Developer Only 8x Earnings]]></title><description><![CDATA[In an industry dominated by publishers with enormous budgets, we've identified a European gaming studio that combines artistic vision and commercial success, trading under 10 times normalized earnings.]]></description><link>https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/mispriced-opportunity-niche-video</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/mispriced-opportunity-niche-video</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Overlooked Alpha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 08 May 2025 10:02:17 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4e-O!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb3dc805b-a318-460a-abb7-7636fd2d6bbf_4256x2832.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4e-O!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb3dc805b-a318-460a-abb7-7636fd2d6bbf_4256x2832.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4e-O!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb3dc805b-a318-460a-abb7-7636fd2d6bbf_4256x2832.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4e-O!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb3dc805b-a318-460a-abb7-7636fd2d6bbf_4256x2832.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4e-O!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb3dc805b-a318-460a-abb7-7636fd2d6bbf_4256x2832.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4e-O!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb3dc805b-a318-460a-abb7-7636fd2d6bbf_4256x2832.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4e-O!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb3dc805b-a318-460a-abb7-7636fd2d6bbf_4256x2832.jpeg" width="1456" height="969" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/b3dc805b-a318-460a-abb7-7636fd2d6bbf_4256x2832.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:969,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:935404,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.overlookedalpha.com/i/162940161?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb3dc805b-a318-460a-abb7-7636fd2d6bbf_4256x2832.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4e-O!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb3dc805b-a318-460a-abb7-7636fd2d6bbf_4256x2832.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4e-O!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb3dc805b-a318-460a-abb7-7636fd2d6bbf_4256x2832.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4e-O!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb3dc805b-a318-460a-abb7-7636fd2d6bbf_4256x2832.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4e-O!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb3dc805b-a318-460a-abb7-7636fd2d6bbf_4256x2832.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h2><strong>&#128161; Highlights</strong></h2><ul><li><p>In an industry dominated by publishers with enormous budgets, we've identified a European gaming studio that combines artistic vision and commercial success, trading under 10 times normalized earnings. </p></li><li><p>This small developer has demonstrated an ability to create critically acclaimed titles on modest budgets, generating high returns on investment. </p></li><li><p>With strong margins, experienced management holding significant ownership stakes, and favorable tax treatment, we believe investors have overreacted to temporary challenges. </p></li><li><p>The stock is down 60% but we think the upcoming release of a highly anticipated title could be the catalyst to take shares back towards their peak. Let&#8217;s dig in&#8230;</p></li></ul>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/mispriced-opportunity-niche-video">
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      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[This $8 Billion US Defense Stock Can Continue To Run Higher]]></title><description><![CDATA[The company currently trades at an attractive 15x P/E multiple despite improving growth prospects and a significant backlog worth $48.7 billion.]]></description><link>https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/this-8-billion-us-defense-stock-can</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/this-8-billion-us-defense-stock-can</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Overlooked Alpha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 17 Apr 2025 12:41:27 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab9ef4c1-d02c-4d47-b4b1-7a039fd2efe9_2560x1100.webp" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<h2>&#128161; Highlights:</h2><ul><li><p>In today&#8217;s post we discuss a defense business with monopoly and duopoly positions in critical US naval vessel categories. </p></li><li><p>The company currently trades at an attractive 15x P/E multiple despite improving growth prospects and a significant backlog worth $48.7 billion. </p></li><li><p>Increasing national importance following notable policy developments from the current Trump administration suggest a clear path to upside. </p></li><li><p>The current economic environment is volatile and uncertain, which makes this defense stock even more attractive&#8230;</p></li></ul><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IGD3!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab9ef4c1-d02c-4d47-b4b1-7a039fd2efe9_2560x1100.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IGD3!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab9ef4c1-d02c-4d47-b4b1-7a039fd2efe9_2560x1100.webp 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IGD3!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab9ef4c1-d02c-4d47-b4b1-7a039fd2efe9_2560x1100.webp 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IGD3!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab9ef4c1-d02c-4d47-b4b1-7a039fd2efe9_2560x1100.webp 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IGD3!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab9ef4c1-d02c-4d47-b4b1-7a039fd2efe9_2560x1100.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IGD3!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab9ef4c1-d02c-4d47-b4b1-7a039fd2efe9_2560x1100.webp" width="1456" height="626" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/ab9ef4c1-d02c-4d47-b4b1-7a039fd2efe9_2560x1100.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:626,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:946710,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/webp&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.overlookedalpha.com/i/161165789?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab9ef4c1-d02c-4d47-b4b1-7a039fd2efe9_2560x1100.webp&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IGD3!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab9ef4c1-d02c-4d47-b4b1-7a039fd2efe9_2560x1100.webp 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IGD3!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab9ef4c1-d02c-4d47-b4b1-7a039fd2efe9_2560x1100.webp 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IGD3!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab9ef4c1-d02c-4d47-b4b1-7a039fd2efe9_2560x1100.webp 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IGD3!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab9ef4c1-d02c-4d47-b4b1-7a039fd2efe9_2560x1100.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h2><strong>Investment Summary</strong></h2>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/this-8-billion-us-defense-stock-can">
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[LNG and Data Center Winner: 24% Growth, 13x Earnings]]></title><description><![CDATA[As a producer of electrical power management solutions, this business stands at the intersection of several powerful trends.]]></description><link>https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/powell-industries-looks-attractive</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/powell-industries-looks-attractive</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Overlooked Alpha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 09 Mar 2025 11:47:36 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4a39d4fe-9fc0-4a31-ae03-7cd25604426e_1536x1024.webp" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VD52!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4a39d4fe-9fc0-4a31-ae03-7cd25604426e_1536x1024.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VD52!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4a39d4fe-9fc0-4a31-ae03-7cd25604426e_1536x1024.webp 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VD52!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4a39d4fe-9fc0-4a31-ae03-7cd25604426e_1536x1024.webp 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VD52!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4a39d4fe-9fc0-4a31-ae03-7cd25604426e_1536x1024.webp 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VD52!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4a39d4fe-9fc0-4a31-ae03-7cd25604426e_1536x1024.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VD52!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4a39d4fe-9fc0-4a31-ae03-7cd25604426e_1536x1024.webp" width="1456" height="971" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/4a39d4fe-9fc0-4a31-ae03-7cd25604426e_1536x1024.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:971,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:41686,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/webp&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.overlookedalpha.com/i/158507279?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4a39d4fe-9fc0-4a31-ae03-7cd25604426e_1536x1024.webp&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VD52!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4a39d4fe-9fc0-4a31-ae03-7cd25604426e_1536x1024.webp 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VD52!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4a39d4fe-9fc0-4a31-ae03-7cd25604426e_1536x1024.webp 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VD52!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4a39d4fe-9fc0-4a31-ae03-7cd25604426e_1536x1024.webp 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VD52!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4a39d4fe-9fc0-4a31-ae03-7cd25604426e_1536x1024.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>This company stands at the intersection of several powerful trends&#8212;from the surge in US LNG exports to the rapid expansion of data centers and renewed emphasis on domestic manufacturing. Currently, the business is booming. Revenues surged 45% in 2024 with operating margins hitting 17.7%. </p><p>Despite this, the stock is down 27% YTD and 55% from it&#8217;s 52-week high after the recent market selloff. We explore how the company's diversified customer base positions the company to outperform over the coming 12-24 months. Let&#8217;s dig in&#8230;</p><h2>Introduction</h2>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/powell-industries-looks-attractive">
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[A Nutrition Play with 30% EBITDA Margins and a Massive Opportunity]]></title><description><![CDATA[A highly promising small cap that sells fitness, health and nutritional products.]]></description><link>https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/applied-nutrition-57-upside</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.overlookedalpha.com/p/applied-nutrition-57-upside</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Overlooked Alpha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 06 Feb 2025 11:35:53 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0aafdb87-68f5-4321-9f32-d39975472707_1564x876.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This UK small cap produces fitness, health and nutritional products. The company listed on the London Stock Exchange last October via IPO which valued the firm at approximately &#163;350M. Revenue has tripled in the last three years while the company reports healthy margins and strong cash flow generation. We think the company's position in the expanding health and wellness market, combined with its strong operational execution, makes for a compelling investment case. Currently, the stock appears to be flying under the radar of many investors, suggesting potential for share price appreciation as market awareness grows. Let's dig in&#8230;</p><h2><strong>Business Overview</strong></h2>
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