Overlooked Alpha

Overlooked Alpha

A Market Leader With Recurring Revenue Under 6x Operating Income

Fallen too far

Overlooked Alpha
Nov 09, 2026
∙ Paid

Good morning,

Today I’m pitching an overlooked software company that has built a leading position in a niche market with 96% recurring revenue, 96% license retention and 26% operating margins.

Despite growing revenue at double digit rates and generating healthy free cash flow, the stock has fallen over 30% this year taking the valuation to just 5.9 times TTM operating profit.

Free cash flow is clean and my own model suggests 40.3% upside to fair value.

Meanwhile, if management executes on its PC strategy and capital returns, a rerating could see the stock roughly double.

Let’s take a look…

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