Overlooked Alpha

Overlooked Alpha

Research Notes

Research Notes: Uniti Reunites

One of the most contrarian plays on the market

Wall Street and Main
May 09, 2024
∙ Paid

Highlights:

  • A 36% sell-off following the announcement of the long-awaited merger between Uniti and Windstream creates a huge opportunity — on paper.

  • But in practice, this type of bull case has rarely worked in recent years, particularly in the cable/fiber space.

  • Uniti’s post-merger strategy flies in the face of current market consensus about the future of fiber and expected returns on capital.

  • Yet that consensus was completely different just a few years ago; UNIT is likely the best bet on it being wrong again.

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