Overlooked Alpha

Overlooked Alpha

This Sports Betting Company Could Collapse 50%

Optimism toward a sale looks misguided

Overlooked Alpha
Mar 31, 2024
∙ Paid

Highlights:

  • Shares of this online gambling business have gained 76% since mid-January. The catalyst is a report the company is looking to sell itself.

  • But the pool of buyers is exceptionally thin, and the nature of the business suggests minimal synergies.

  • Even in a best-case scenario, shares have built in much of the potential premium.

  • If a sale doesn’t materialize, the bull case collapses, leading to 50%-plus potential downside.

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